Methodology

TrackBro presents descriptive historical statistics. Win rate is wins divided by eligible runners. Starting-price ROI compares the gross return from winning runners at their recorded starting prices with the number of units hypothetically staked. A2E compares actual wins with expected wins from market-derived probabilities for eligible runners.

Barrier groups may be analysed by absolute number or relative to field size. Rail position is the recorded rail setting for the race or meeting; a rail setting of 6m out is not the same thing as a 6m change from the previous meeting. Rail movement requires comparing consecutive verified meetings at the same course. Track conditions should use race-level going where available, particularly when conditions change during a meeting.

Settling position describes where a horse was positioned during the completed race. It is an observed historical outcome, not a guaranteed pre-race trait. Historical associations between settling position and results do not establish that the position caused the result.

When interpreting any table, check runner count, qualifying races, A2E coverage, time period and missing data. Narrow filters can create unstable results. ROI can be heavily influenced by long-priced winners. Comparisons across groups may be affected by different field sizes, class, conditions or meeting mix. Findings should be checked across years and against the live explorer before publication.