Flemington Track Bias & Historical Racing Data

Overview

Flemington is home to Australia's best-known staying race and offers an important lesson in track-specific analysis: the same racecourse can produce very different patterns over different distances. TrackBro lets users separate distance, barriers, rail settings and track conditions instead of treating Flemington as one uniform racing surface.

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Visit the Cox Plate research page and Melbourne Cup research page. Interrogate the Data with Flemington selected to test your own questions.

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Cox Plate · Barriers & Run Style · Melbourne Cup

Racecourse map

View Flemington maps and visitor information on the Victoria Racing Club website. Maps are hosted by the publisher, not TrackBro.

Historical Flemington 2000m: settling-position win rates

Source: TrackBro active production historical research records; checked 11 October 2026. Owner-approved verification window: 1 January 2017–11 October 2026 inclusive (newly adopted, not the original export period). Flemington exactly 2000m; 183 qualifying races and 2229 runner records, spanning 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-03. All eligible races at this track and distance, not only feature-race editions. 2,157 of 2,229 runner records are classified; 72 are unclassified. The classified groups contain 181 wins, with 2 further wins among the unclassified records. Classified position records span 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-01. Historical observations are descriptive, not forecasts.

Win rate is wins divided by runner records within each group, not the share of all winners. These percentages do not need to add to 100%. Each first-place runner counts as one full win, including shared wins.

Settling position is recorded after the race, not known in advance. Categories use field-relative bands: leader = position 1; otherwise on speed up to 30%, midfield up to 60%, worse than midfield up to 80%, and backmarker beyond 80% of (position − 1)/(stored field size − 1). Missing settling positions are excluded from these categories.

Backmarkers recorded 0.48 A2E; all 457 backmarker runner records are eligible for this calculation.

Historical Flemington 2000m: leader rail comparison

Source: TrackBro active production historical research records; checked 11 October 2026. Owner-approved verification window: 1 January 2017–11 October 2026 inclusive (newly adopted, not the original export period). Flemington exactly 2000m; 183 qualifying races and 2229 runner records, spanning 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-03. All eligible races at this track and distance, not only feature-race editions. All-leader records span 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-01; the rail 6–9m subset spans 2017-01-28 to 2026-06-06. Historical observations are descriptive, not forecasts.

Rail means the recorded rail position, inclusive from 6m to 9m out, not a change from the previous meeting. These exploratory results should be checked for concentration by year and the influence of long-priced winners.

Historical SP ROI assumes one unit on every runner in the group, with winning returns at recorded decimal starting prices and divided for dead heats. A2E normalizes reciprocal starting prices across complete confirmed fields before filtering; actual and expected wins use the same eligible runners. Positive historical returns are not a future-return forecast.

Historical Flemington 3200m: small-sample warning

Source: TrackBro active production historical research records; checked 11 October 2026. Owner-approved verification window: 1 January 2017–11 October 2026 inclusive (newly adopted, not the original export period). Flemington exactly 3200m; 11 qualifying races and 231 runner records, spanning 2017-05-20 to 2025-11-04. All eligible races at this track and distance, not only feature-race editions. Historical observations are descriptive, not forecasts.

Because the sample is small, the performance of a single long-priced winner can substantially change ROI or A2E in narrow groups. The 3200m trends are historical context rather than firm rules about the best barrier or running style. No 2026 Flemington 3200m race is included in this snapshot.