When was the 2026 King Charles III Stakes?
| Race fact | Verified detail |
|---|---|
| Date | 2026-10-17 |
| Venue | Randwick |
| Distance | 1609m |
| Grade | Group 1 |
| Prizemoney | A$5 million |
King Charles III Stakes: the 2026 race is complete
The 2026 King Charles III Stakes was run at Randwick on 17 October. Autumn Glow won, ridden by James McDonald and trained by Chris Waller. This page is now a result and historical research reference, not an upcoming preview.
2026 King Charles III Stakes result
| Place | Horse | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Autumn Glow | James McDonald | Chris Waller |
| 2 | Ceolwulf | Chad Schofield | Joseph Pride |
| 3 | Just Folk | Jamie Mott | Gavin Bedggood |
The stored result records 5 starters and race-level going of Soft 5. Racenet individual race result. Historical research snapshots retained below keep their original sample dates.
King Charles III Stakes historical trends
Randwick 1600m historical mile comparison; the 2026 King Charles III Stakes was officially 1609m. All 446 qualifying races, 248 meetings and 4,997 runners stored between 2017-01-02 and 2026-10-17; not just editions of the King Charles III Stakes. Snapshot checked 23 October 2026, using the available ten-year window (23 October 2016–23 October 2026), with all other filters unrestricted.
| Published barrier | Runners | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barriers 1–4 | 1,747 | 187 | 10.70% |
| Barriers 5–8 | 1,677 | 151 | 9.00% |
| Barriers 9+ | 1,573 | 109 | 6.93% |
Barriers 1–4 have the highest observed win rate in this grouped sample: 187 wins from 1,747 runners (10.70%). This is an historical association, not a forecast or an isolated causal barrier effect. The groups differ in field-size exposure and can contain different classes, ages and track conditions.
Stored race-level going only, without substituting a meeting's headline rating. These are scenario subsets of the same sample, not additional races. Rows without a stored race rating are unclassified; subsets smaller than 30 runners are omitted.
| Race going | Runners | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2,604 | 236 | 9.06% |
| Soft | 1,522 | 131 | 8.61% |
| Heavy | 871 | 80 | 9.18% |
King Charles III Stakes TrackBro insights
Win rate is wins divided by starters, not the share of all race winners. Every first-place runner counts as a full win, including dead heats. Missing barriers: 0. No runner-level records are published in this graph.
Actual versus Expected is shown only for the app-eligible subset: complete confirmed fields, usable SP for every starter and a total implied probability between 1.00 and 1.50. Expected wins are race-normalised before grouping; eligible sample size can differ from the barrier chart.
| Published barrier | Eligible runners | Actual wins | Expected wins | A2E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barriers 1–4 | 1739 | 186 | 185.26 | 1.00 |
| Barriers 5–8 | 1670 | 150 | 151.40 | 0.99 |
| Barriers 9+ | 1572 | 109 | 107.34 | 1.02 |
King Charles III Stakes related research
Start with Randwick 1600m historical mile comparison; the 2026 King Charles III Stakes was officially 1609m: track and distance only, Full History where your membership permits it, and every other filter unrestricted. Then change one condition at a time and keep the sample sizes visible. Existing access restrictions remain in place.
Research King Charles III Stakes with TrackBro
Explore the historical record with Interrogate the Data. View current memberships and access for the live Day Pass and Elite products, prices and terms. Historical patterns help frame questions; they do not promise a winning selection.
King Charles III Stakes sources
Official 2026 race-day/program reference. Race facts and sources reviewed 23 October 2026.
Historical statistics and honour-roll rows: read-only TrackBro production racing records, checked 23 October 2026. Calculations reuse the existing research application's win and A2E functions; no racing records or research calculations were changed.
Verified historical research and records
Archived approved export snapshots end 9 October 2026. They are distinct from the fresh 23 October 2026 cohort presented above; counts may differ.
| Year | Winner | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ceolwulf | Chad Schofield | Joseph Pride |
| 2024 | Ceolwulf | Chad Schofield | Joseph Pride |
| 2023 | Fangirl | James McDonald | Chris Waller |
| 2022 | Anamoe | James McDonald | James Cummings |
| 2021 | Verry Elleegant | James McDonald | Chris Waller |
| 2020 | Kolding | Tommy Berry | Chris Waller |
| 2019 | Avilius | Kerrin McEvoy | James Cummings |
| 2018 | Winx | Hugh Bowman | Chris Waller |
| 2017 | Winx | Hugh Bowman | Chris Waller |
| 2016 | Winx | Hugh Bowman | Chris Waller |
| Group | Wins | Runners | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leaders | 15 | 79 | 18.99% |
| On-speed | 15 | 198 | 7.58% |
| Midfield | 22 | 247 | 8.91% |
| Off-midfield | 14 | 161 | 8.70% |
| Backmarkers | 14 | 185 | 7.57% |
